A Recession?
Something incredibly unexpected is happening right now. The first quarter's economic output decreased, and indications point to a repeat of that trend in the second. Nevertheless, during the first half of the year, the job market shown few signs of weakness.
Related reading
A Soft Landing May Be Possible
The U.S. economy is on the verge of achieving what many economists deemed unlikely or impossible: a return to pre-pandemic levels of inflation without triggering a recession or significant economic downturn—a phenomenon known as a "soft landing."
The Mystery of the U.S. Economy
Dana Peterson, the chief economist at the Conference Board, believes that the sharp decline of the U.S. business group's Leading Economic Index indicates that a recession will soon take hold in the United States.
Potential Dissent at the Federal Reserve
This week’s Federal Reserve meeting may bring a rare event not seen since 1993: multiple governors dissenting from the chair’s policy direction.
Caution Leads The Way
A restrained and measured approach has continued to be taken by the Federal Reserve, with policy left unchanged as inflation remains slightly above the 2% target and the effects of tariffs introduce further complexity.